UI Election Analytics predicts president

URBANA, Ill. - URBANA -- A group of researchers at the University of Illinois are focusing on numbers to predict who's going to be our next president. They call it Election Analytics. The website is put together and updated every day by students and a professor at the University of Illinois. Sheldon Jacobson, who organized it, says they're the most accurate predictors in the country.

They use a combination of poll numbers, algorithms and some analysis. But instead of looking things nationally, they break things down state-by-state, like it would be for the general election. They started working on this back in 2000 and were right when they predicted George W. Bush would beat out Al Gore. After 2004, they decided to start putting their numbers online and get students involved. Now they look at senate seats as well as presidential campaigns. Jacobson says it's a fun project to work on.

"The changing of the numbers," said Jacobson. "The influence of third party candidates we're seeing right now, in terms of Johnson and Stein, is quite dramatic, more so than we've ever seen, so this is quite amazing to watch."

People who go to the site can customize the results by adding in third party candidates, taking out certain polls or choosing which way they think undecided voters will lean. Researchers say they're confident they've got the whole picture on the site. As of Thursday, their numbers show Democrat Hillary Clinton with a lead over Republican Donald Trump. But with three months to go until Election Day, they'll be keeping an eye out if that changes. To see the website for yourself, click here.


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